Research Assistant Professor
Virginia Modeling, Analysis & Simulation Center

Christopher Lynch

VMASC
SUFFOLK, 23435

Ph.D. in Modeling and Simulation, 51Ç鱨վ, (2019)

M.S. in Modeling and Simulation, 51Ç鱨վ, (2012)

B.S. in Electrical Engineering, 51Ç鱨վ, (2011)

Graduate Teaching Assistant Instructors' Institute Certificate
Sponsoring Organization: 51Ç鱨վ - Office of Graduate Studies
Date Obtained: 2013-08-23
AWS Cloud Practitioners Essentials
Sponsoring Organization: Amazon Web Services (AWS)
Date Obtained: 2023-02-01

Contracts, Grants and Sponsored Research

Gore, R., Shull, J., Nielsen, A., Jordan, C., Lynch, C. and Agg, P. "IRAD: Digital Neighborhood" $476,800. State. June 1, 2021 - December 31, 2022
Jordan, C. and Lynch, C. "UNOS Organ Donor Model – year 3" $140,701. Private. April 15, 2021 - April 14, 2022
Collins, A., Lynch, C., Cotter, T., Leathrum, J. F., Huang, J., Smith, K., Amason (Draper), D. and Gore, R. "Automation Tools and Analytics Courses for the Naval Shipyard Project Extension" $663,325. Private. September 28, 2019 - September 27, 2021
Collins, A., Lynch, C., Gore, R., Cotter, T., Leathrum, J. F. and Barraco, A. "Automation Tools and Analytics Courses for the Naval Shipyards" $943,899. September 28, 2018 - September 27, 2021
Ezell, B., Gore, R. and Lynch, C. "Covid 19 Forecasting and Analytic Support to VDEM and VDH" $88,200. State. January 1, 2021 - July 31, 2021
Diallo, S., Lynch, C. and Barraco, A. "Modeling Religion: Simulating the Social Effects of Religion" $299,447. State. July 1, 2015 - June 30, 2018
Lynch, C., Diallo, S. and Barraco, A. "Integrated Gaming System (IGS) PWS" $263,058. Private. February 21, 2014 - September 30, 2014
Diallo, S., Lynch, C. and Barraco, A. "TRADOC ARCIC Future Warfare Study Program" $173,428. Private. May 30, 2013 - September 30, 2013
Lynch, C. and McKenzie, F. "Research Experience for Undergraduates (REU) Grant " $1,500. 51Ç鱨վ. January 2011 - May 2011

Expertise

Modeling and Simulation
Simulation Analytics, Verification, & Validation
Data Analysis
Data Analytics and Predictive Analytics
Modeling and Simulation
Agent-based Modeling, System Dynamics Modeling, Discrete-event Modeling
Modeling and Simulation
Multi-paradigm Modeling, Hybrid Simulation

Research Interests

I have worked at the Virginia Modeling, Analysis, and Simulation Center (VMASC) at 51Ç鱨վ (51Ç鱨վ) since 2011. My research interests include data analytics, simulation education, and verification and validation. I maintain a specific focus on advancing credible and reproducible analytical approaches for simulation models that can meet the expanding needs of model users to support claims of validity, veracity, and health informatics. Recent advances in the openness and transparency of science as well as standards in the ethical conductance of research with human subjects have made great strides in improving scientific rigor and instilling confidence and credibility in research outcomes. As part of this global push for open science and replicability of research, I am pushing my research towards facilitating openness in data ethics, research team ethics, and statistical reporting ethics for scientific research.

My research represents a constant and ongoing commitment to expanding the state-of-the-art in simulation and data analytics topics, to improving the reproducibility and credibility of simulation outcomes, and to improving the accessibility of interpretation connected to analytical outcomes and their practical significance within their associated contexts.

Articles

Ezell, B., Lynch, C. J. and Hester, P. (2021). Methods for Weighting Decisions to Assist Modelers and Decision Analysts: A Review of Ratio Assignment and Approximate Techniques. Applied Sciences 11 (21).
Lynch, C. J. and Gore, R. (2021). Short-Range Forecasting of COVID-19 During Early Onset at County, Health District, and State Geographic Levels Using Seven Methods: Comparative Forecasting Study. Journal of Medical Internet Research 23 (3) , pp. e24925.
Lynch, C. J. and Gore, R. (2021). Application of one-, three-, and seven-day forecasts during early onset on the COVID-19 epidemic dataset using moving average, autoregressive, autoregressive moving average, autoregressive integrated moving average, and naïve forecasting methods. Data in Brief 35 , pp. 106759.
Lynch, C. J., Diallo, S., Kavak, H. and Padilla, J. (2020). A content analysis-based approach to explore simulation verification and identify its current challenges. PLOS ONE , pp. 1-33.
Shults, F. LeRon., Wildman, W. J.., Lane, J. E.., Lynch, C. and Diallo, S. Y. (2018). Multiple Axialities: A Computational Model of the Axial Age. Journal of Cognition and Culture 18 (5) , pp. 537-564.
Wood, C., Diallo, S. Y., Gore, R. and Lynch, C. (2018). Trance, Dissociation, and Shamanism: A Cross-Cultural Model. Journal of Cognition and Culture 18 (5) , pp. 508-536.
Shults, F., Gore, R., Wildman, W. J.., Lynch, C., Lane, J. E.. and Toft, M. (2018). A Generative Model of the Mutual Escalation of Anxiety Between Religious Groups. Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation 21 (4).
Padilla, J., Kavak, H., Lynch, C., Gore, R. and Diallo, S. Y. (2018). Temporal and Spatiotemporal Investigation of Tourist Attraction Visit Sentiment on Twitter. PLOS ONE 13 (6) , pp. 1-20.
Padilla, J. J., Diallo, S. Y., Lynch, C. J. and Gore, R. (2017). Observations on the practice and profession of Modeling and Simulation: A survey approach. SIMULATION , pp. 1-14.
Shults, F. LeRon., Lane, J. E.., Wildman, W. J.., Diallo, S. Y., Lynch, C. and Gore, R. (2017). Modelling terror management theory: Computer simulations of the impact of mortality salience on religiosity. Religion, Brain & Behavior 8 (1) , pp. 77-100.
Gore, R., Diallo, S. Y., Lynch, C. and Padilla, J. (2017). Augmenting bottom-up metamodels with predicates. Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation 20 (1) , pp. 1-20.
Gore, R., Lynch, C. J . and Kavak, H. (2016). Applying statistical debugging for enhanced trace validation of agent-based models. Simulation: Transactions of the Society for Modeling and Simulation International 93 (4) , pp. 273-284.
Diallo, S. Y., Gore, R., Lynch, C. J. and Padilla, J. J. (2016). Formal methods, statistical debugging and exploratory analysis in support of system development: Towards a verification and validation calculator tool. International Journal of Modeling, Simulation, and Scientific Computing 7 (01) , pp. 1-22.
Diallo, S. Y., Lynch, C. J., Gore, R. and Padilla, J. J. (2016). Identifying key papers within a journal via network centrality measures. Scientometrics 107 (3) , pp. 1005–1020.
Diallo, S. Y., Gore, R., Padilla, J., Kavak, H. and Lynch, C. (2015). Towards a World Wide Web of Simulation. The Journal of Defense Modeling and Simulation: Applications, Methodology, Technology 14 (2) , pp. 159-170.
Diallo, S. Y., Padilla, J. J., Papelis, Y., Gore, R. and Lynch, C. J. (2015). Content analysis to classify and compare Live, Virtual, Constructive simulations and System of Systems. The Journal of Defense Modeling and Simulation: Applications, Methodology, Technology 13 (4) , pp. 367-380.
Diallo, S. Y., Lynch, C. J., Gore, R. and Padilla, J. J. (2015). Emergent behavior identification within an agent-based model of the Ballistic Missile Defense System using statistical debugging. The Journal of Defense Modeling and Simulation: Applications, Methodology, Technology 13 (3) , pp. 275-289.
Diallo, S. Y., Gore, R., Padilla, J. J. and Lynch, C. J. (2015). An overview of modeling and simulation using content analysis. Scientometrics 103 (3) , pp. 977–1002.
Diallo, S. Y., Gore, R., Barraco, A., Padilla, J. and Lynch, C. (2015). Quantitative performance metrics for evaluation and comparison of middleware interoperability products. The Journal of Defense Modeling and Simulation: Applications, Methodology, Technology 13 (2) , pp. 161-169.

Book Chapters

Lynch, C., Kavak, H., Gore, R. and Vernon-Bido, D. (2019). Identifying Unexpected Behaviors of Agent-based Models through Spatial Plots and Heat Maps Complex Adaptive Systems: Views from the Physical, Natural, and Social Sciences (pp. 129-142) Cham: Springer.
Diallo, S. Y. and Lynch, C. (2018). Examination of Emergent Behavior in the Ballistic Missile Defense System: A Modeling and Simulation Approach Engineering Emergence: A Modeling and Simulation Approach (pp. 319-328) CRC Press.
Diallo, S. Y., Lynch, C. and Mustafee, N. (2017). Funding an Academic Simulation Project: The Economics of M&S The Profession of Modeling and Simulation: Discipline, Ethics, Education, Vocation, Societies, and Economics (pp. 267-285) Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
Diallo, S. Y. and Lynch, C. J. (2015). A Roadmap for Building a Digital Patient System The Digital Patient: Advancing Healthcare, Research, and Education (pp. 209–224) The Digital Patient: Advancing Healthcare, Research, and Education.

Conference Proceeding

Lynch, C. J., Gore, R., Collins, A., Cotter, T. Steven., Grigoryan, G. and Leatrum Jr., J. (2021). Increased Need for Data Analytics Education in Support of Verification and Validation IEEE.
Leathrum Jr, J. F., Collins, A., Cotter, T., Lynch, C. and Gore, R. (2020). Education in analytics needed for the Modeling & Simulation process Proceedings of the 2020 Winter Simulation Conference (pp. 3236-3247) Piscataway, NJ: IEEE.
Diallo, S. Y., Lynch, C., Rechowicz, K. and Zacharewicz, G. (2018). How to create empathy and understanding: Narrative analytics in Agent-based Modeling Proceedings of the 2018 Winter Simulation Conference (pp. 1286-1297) Piscataway, NJ: IEEE.
Kavak, H., Padilla, J. J., Lynch, C. J. and Diallo, S. Y. (2018). Big Data, Agents, and Machine Learning: Towards a Data-Driven Agent-Based Modeling Approach Proceedings of the 2018 Spring Simulation Multi-Conference – Annual Simulation Symposium (ANSS) (pp. 1-12) Vista, CA: The Society for Modeling and Simulation International.
Cornelius, C. V. M.., Lynch, C. and Gore, R. (2017). Aging out of crime: Exploring the relationship between age and crime with agent based modeling In Proceedings of the 2017 Spring Simulation Conference - Agent Directed Simulation (ADS 2017) (pp. 25-36) Vista, CA: Society for Modeling and Simulation International (SCS).
Padilla, J. J.., Lynch, C. J.., Kavak, H., Evett, S., Nelson, D., Carson, C. and del Villar, J. (2017). Storytelling and Simulation Creation Proceedings of the 2017 Winter Simulation Conference (pp. 4288-4299) Piscataway, NJ: IEEE.
Deuro, J., Lynch, C. J.., Kavak, H. and Padilla, J. J.. (2017). Incorporating Sound in Simulations Proceedings of the 2017 Winter Simulation Conference (pp. 4209-4219) Piscataway, NJ: IEEE.
Shults, F. LeRon., Gore, R., Wildman, W. W. ., Lynch, C. J.., Lane, J. and Toft, M. Duffy. (2017). Mutually escalating religious violence: A generative model In Proceedings of the 2017 Social Simulation Conference (pp. 1-12).
Lynch, C. J.., Kavak, H., Gore, R. and Vernon-Bido, D. (2017). Identifying Unexpected Behaviors of Agent-based Models through Spatial Plots and Heat Maps Swarmfest 2017: 21st Annual Meeting on Agent Based Modeling and Simulation (pp. 1-14).
Balaban, M. A.., Lynch, C. J.. and Mastaglio, T. W.. (2016). Analysis of Future UAS-based Delivery System Proceedings of the 2016 Winter Simulation Conference (pp. 1595-1606) Piscataway, NJ: IEEE.
Diallo, S. Y.., Lynch, C. J.., Padilla, J. J.. and Gore, R. (2016). The impact of modeling paradigms on the outcomes of simulation studies: An experimental case study Proceedings of the 2016 Winter Simulation Conference (pp. 1451-1462) Piscataway, NJ: IEEE.
Balaban, M. A.., Lynch, C. J.. and Mastaglio, T. W.. (2016). Towards airspace rules for future UAS-based delivery Proceedings of the 2016 Winter Simulation Conference (pp. 1619-1629) Piscataway, NJ: IEEE.
Padilla, J. J.., Lynch, C. J.., Havak, H., Diallo, S. Y.., Gore, R., Barraco, A. and Jenkins, B. (2016). Using simulation games for teaching and learning Discrete-Event Simulation Proceedings of the 2016 Winter Simulation Conference (pp. 3375-3384) Piscataway, NJ: IEEE.
Lynch, C. J. and Diallo, S. Y. (2015). A taxonomy for classifying terminologies that describe simulations with multiple models Proceedings of the 2015 Winter Simulation Conference (pp. 1621–1632) Piscataway, NJ: IEEE Press.
Padilla, J. J., Romero-Hall, E., Diallo, S. Y., Barraco, A., Kavak, H., Lynch, C. J., Gore, R. and Sheth-Chandra, M. (2015). Modeling and simulation as a service (MSaaS) for education: learning STEM concepts through simulation use and building Proceedings of the 2015 Conference on Summer Computer Simulation (pp. 1–9) Vista, CA: Society for Computer Simulation International.
Lynch, C. J. ., Padilla, J. J., Diallo, S. Y., Sokolowski, J. A. and Banks, C. M. (2014). A Multi-paradigm Modeling Framework for Modeling and Simulating Problem Situations Proceedings of the 2014 Winter Simulation Conference (WSC) (pp. 1688-1699) Piscataway, NJ: IEEE Press.
Padilla, J. J., Diallo, S., Barraco, A., Lynch, C. and Kavak, H. (2014). Cloud-based simulators: making simulations accessible to non-experts and experts alike Proceedings of the 2014 Winter Simulation Conference (pp. 3630–3639) Piscataway, NJ: IEEE Press.
Sokolowski, J. A., Banks, C. M., Diallo, S. Y., Padilla, J. J. and Lynch, C. J. (2013). A simulation analysis to weigh the impact of obesity: corresponding patient need with medical capacity Proceedings of the 2013 Summer Computer Simulation Conference (pp. 1-8) Vista, CA: Society for Computer Simulation International.
Lynch, C. J., Diallo, S. Y. and Tolk, A. (2013). Representing the Ballistic Missile Defense System using Agent-based Modeling Proceedings of the Military Modeling & Simulation Symposium (pp. 1-8) Vista, CA: Society for Computer Simulation International.
Sokolowski, J. A., Banks, C. M., Diallo, S. Y., Padilla, J. J. and Lynch, C. J. (2012). A methodology for engaging modeling and simulation to assess a corollary problem to the obesity epidemic Proceedings of the International Workshop on Applied Modeling & Simulation (WAMS) 2012 (pp. 30-37).
Lynch, C. J., Lambert, R., McKenzie, F. and Williams, A. (2011). A remote monitoring system for treating Pectus Carinatum 4th International Conference on Biomedical Engineering and Informatics (BMEI) (pp. 2365–2369) Piscataway, NJ: IEEE.

Presentations

Lynch, C. (December 6, 2017). Storytelling and Simulation Creation Paper 2017 Winter Simulation Conference Las Vegas, NV.
Lynch, C. (August 13, 2017). Identifying Unexpected Behaviors of Agent-Based Models through Spatial Plots and Heat Maps Oral Presentation Swarmfest 2017 VMASC.
Lynch, C. (August 11, 2017). Teaching Simulation through Sensory Augmentation Oral Presentation Swarmfest 2017 VMASC.
Rechowicz, K. and Lynch, C. (August 11, 2017). Teaching Simulation through Sensory Augmentation - Interactive Demonstration Demonstration Swarmfest 2017 VMASC.
Lynch, C. (December 11, 2016). The impact of modeling paradigms on the outcomes of simulation studies: An experimental case study Paper 2016 Winter Simulation Conference Arlington, VA.
Lynch, C. (December 11, 2016). Using simulation games for teaching and learning Discrete-Event Simulation Paper 2016 Winter Simulation Conference Arlington, VA.
Lynch, C. (December 6, 2015). A taxonomy for classifying terminologies that describe simulations with multiple models Paper 2015 Winter Simulation Conference Huntington Beach, CA.
Lynch, C. (December 7, 2014). A Multi-paradigm Modeling Framework for Modeling and Simulating Problem Situations Paper 2014 Winter Simulation Conference Savannah, GA.
Lynch, C. (December 7, 2014). Cloud-based simulators: making simulations accessible to non-experts and experts alike Paper 2014 Winter Simulation Conference Savannah, GA.
Lynch, C. (April 11, 2013). (Invited Paper Presentation) Representing the Ballistic Missile Defense System using Agent-based Modeling Paper Modeling, Simulation & Visualization 2013 Student Capstone Conference Suffolk, VA.
Lynch, C. (April 19, 2012). Command and Control Quad-Copter and Ground Vehicle: Autonomous Task Execution Paper Modeling, Simulation & Visualization 2012 Student Capstone Conference Suffolk, VA.
Lynch, C. (February 11, 2012). A Remote Monitoring System for Treating Pectus Carinatum. Oral Presentation 51Ç鱨վ Undergraduate Research Symposium, 2012 Norfolk, VA.
Lynch, C. (October , 2011). A Remote Monitoring System for Treating Pectus Carinatum Paper 2011 4th International Conference on Biomedical Engineering and Informatics (BMEI) Shanghai, China.
  • 2022: Young Simulation Scientist, The Society for Modeling and Simulation International (SCS)
  • 2022: 51Ç鱨վ Top 40 Under 40, 51Ç鱨վ Alumni Association
  • 2016: Certificate of Outstanding Contribution in Reviewing, Elsevier, Simulation Modelling Practice and Theory
  • 2015: Certificate of Appreciation from the Society for Modeling and Simulation International for contributions to the 2015 Spring Simulation Multi-Conference, Society for Modeling and Simulation International (SCS)
  • 2013: Best Track Presentation for Homeland Security and Military, MS&V Capstone Conference, 51Ç鱨վ - VMASC
  • 2012: Certificate of Excellence in Undergraduate Research, 51Ç鱨վ